Oil prices hit lowest points in 2 years
Thursday November 13, 2008, 6:58 am
Oil prices sank Wednesday to the lowest levels since the start of 2007, as traders worried about weaker demand for energy amid a gloomy economic outlook, analysts say.
On London's InterContinental Exchange (ICE), Brent North Sea crude for delivery in December tumbled to 54.28 dollars a barrel - the lowest level since January 30, 2007.
It recovered slightly in early afternoon trade to stand at 54.88 dollars, down 83 cents from Tuesday's close.
On the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), light sweet crude for December slid to 57.70 dollars - a point not reached since March 20, 2007.
It later stood at 58.12 dollars a barrel, up 1.18 dollars.
"Oil is now pushing to new traded lows for the year and - if anything - the outlook looks ever more painful," warned Capital Spreads managing director Simon Denham in London.
Prices have slumped more than 60 per cent in value since striking record heights above 147 dollars per barrel in July, as the market has been gripped by worries that a looming global recession will slash energy demand.
Crude futures slumped Tuesday by more than three dollars a barrel in New York, after two days of gains, as stock markets tumbled on recession fears.
"The expectation for the time being is for the world economy to be in a downturn, and therefore for a lack of increase in (crude) demand," said Bache trader Tony Machacek.
Britain and the European Union have called for strong joint action to hold off the recession threatening leading economies, as more grim economic and corporate news battered sentiment this week.
"I think the economic situation, not only in the US but also in Europe, is quite bad and still needs time to rebound," said Ken Hasegawa, manager of the energy desk at Newedge Japan brokerage in Tokyo.
While the world fights a global credit crunch, he said the overall trend in oil prices was lower.
Asian and European stock markets were rattled Wednesday by investor fears that the ongoing financial crisis will wreak havoc at the world's biggest companies, analysts said.
Wall Street stocks fell Tuesday on growing concern about a collapse of automotive giant General Motors, alongside troubling corporate news.
In London on Wednesday, the International Energy Agency (IEA) warned that dwindling oil reserves were crucial for the crude market outlook.
"The key determinant in the years to come is the oilfield decline more than demand," said Fatih Birol, chief IEA economist, at a press conference unveiling the agency's World Energy Outlook report.
"Oil demand has peaked in the OECD countries," he added in reference to the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), an influential policy forum for the world's 30 leading advanced countries.
The IEA, the energy monitoring and policy arm of the OECD, also forecast that extra oil production of 45 million barrels per day was needed by 2030 to offset declining oilfield output.
That was more than four times the current capacity of Saudi Arabia, which is the world's biggest oil producer.
Recent oil project delays announced by several companies could spark a supply crunch by 2010, Birol warned.
"We see and hear about energy investments being delayed... This is a major worry and could lead to a supply crunch and much higher oil prices than we've seen before," Birol added.
The Paris-based IEA, which published its global energy outlook last week, expects world oil demand to start recovering by 2010 from current financial woes, according to Birol.
The IEA forecasts in the annual World Energy Outlook report that oil prices will average 100 dollars a barrel from 2008 to 2015, before doubling by 2030.
Traders were meanwhile gearing up for the latest weekly snapshot of US energy inventories, delayed a day until Thursday because of Veterans Day earlier in the week. |